Ng -z0s96. ASSESSING DAMPING UNCERTAINTY IN SPACE STRUCTURES WITH FUZZY SETS

NASA has been interested in the development of methods for evaluating the predictive accuracy of structural dynamic models. This interest stems from the use of mathematical models in evaluating the structural integrity of all spacecraft prior to flight. Space structures are often too large and too weak to be tested fully assembled in a ground test laboratory. The predictive accuracy of a model depends on the nature and extent of its experimental verification. The further the test conditions depart from in-service conditions, the less accurate the model will be. Structural damping is known to be one source of uncertainty in models. This paper explores the uncertainty in damping to evaluate the accuracy of dynamic models. A simple mass-spring-dashpot system is used to illustrate a comparison among three methods for propagating uncertainty in structural dynamics models: the First Order Method, the Numerical Simulation Method and the Fuzzy Set Method. The fuzzy set method is shown to bound the range of possible responses and thus to provide a valuable limiting check on the First Order Method near resonant conditions. Fuzzy methods are a relatively inexpensive alternative to numerical simulation and they can be used to classify uncertain parameters into useful groupings.